Macron could end up ‘sandwiched’ between RN and left-wing coalition • FRANCE 24 English

Macron could end up ‘sandwiched’ between RN and left-wing coalition • FRANCE 24 English

me now to discuss is Mark perilman our French politics editor and Mark look if this Alliance holds Paul suggests the left could do pretty well in this election so actually these conversations happening today are key aren’t they absolutely they are key they will Define the election clearly because those discussions have been going on there are parallel discussions one is about a platform a common platform in a rush I should say four parties need to get together and essentially lay out 10 12 ideas that they want to push uh during those election that’s number one uh on the parallel track you have 577 seats up for grabs and they have to figure out how to field only one candidate in each uh circum circumscription as they’re called here in France in each constituency and that’s obviously a total orders because you have four parties let’s not forget in 2022 they managed to do this uh this was also a surprise Alliance but they had more time to do it and at the time there was really one party that had the upper hand France and baled because they were coming off the 22% score by their leader Jean luk milon at the presidential election that’s not the case anymore the European elections we’ve seen the Socialist uh do 14% France and about 10% the Communist and the greens really uh single point percentage this was really not a good election for them so now they have to figure out how many seats will each party have and who will go and so this is right now and they have up until Sunday to register the candidates so they’re running against the clock right now but they have to have an agreement if they want to survive because the poll show if they go together they can have a sizable even maybe a majority in Parliament that’s a big if but if they go divide it then they’re essentially dead because they’ll have a dozen m he’s there a couple of dozens there but they will have no leverage whatsoever nationally so that’s why despite bitter disagreements I mean especially since the war in Gaza we’ve heard Vivid accusations sometimes personal insults flying between them they’ve now decided we have a big danger the national rally is on the cusp of power we need to get United forget our disagreements let’s get together and form this Alliance this will be key in the coming hours we’ll know if uh this will bear fruit or not right and where might that leave Emanuel macron the president if that left-wing Alliance holds because we know that the far right have a significant base of support we saw that in the European election so we could up end up in a situation where the left does pretty well the right does pretty well and doesn’t leave a lot for the president and the center no he would be in a world of trouble if this happens obviously when he decided uh to dissolve the National Assembly I guess his idea was that they will be fra on the right we are seeing this happen and there would be division on the left and that’s exactly what’s not happening and so this means that instead of how of how he envisioned this which he laid out yesterday during a long press conference uh that he would be a Centrist block fighting off the extreme left and the extreme right he could end up being sandwiched between clearly a strong National rally and a unified leftist Coalition and uh was a projection by our colleagues from leig this morning this is extrapolation but taking the results from European elections and trying to see what this would mean in a legislative election and out of the 577 seats it shows that in 536 of them so essentially 90% you would have a national rally candidate versus a leftist candidate and there will only be 40 or so uh cases where mol’s candidate would be able to make it to the second round obviously this is just an idea and hypothesis but this would be a catastrophe for Emanuel Macon because he would be really a lame dark president until 2027 he already said that he would never uh resign but clearly if this happened this would be the nightmare scenario and a scenario Unleashed by one person IM Mel fascinating thanks very much Mark Perman for us there

Contrary to what President Emmanuel Macron had envisioned when he called for early elections Sunday, Macron and his party Renaissance could end up “sandwiched” between the far right and a unified left-wing coalition, FRANCE 24’s Marc Perelman said. “Out of the 577 seats, it shows that 536 of them – so essentially 90 percent – you will have National Rally candidates versus leftist candidates,” Perelman said, citing projections from French daily Le Figaro, adding that it would be a “nightmare scenario” for Macron.
#Macron #legislative elections #France

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