Context: In the book Breakout Nations: In Pursuit of the Next Economic Miracles. Autor makes a observation t -If a developing country has very high hotel prices,then the likelihood of that country to have reasonable growth decreases.

Layman Analogy:
Just imagine if the cost of hotel stay is the same for California (developed country ) and Mumbai,India (Developing Country).

This would indicate(one or many) the following:-
(1) High cost of doing business. Hence bad for growth.
(2) High real estate cost hence higher room rents. (Real Estate Bubble)
(3)Bad electricity/security Infrastructure. [Lots of developing countries don't have reliable electricity, hence business need to use diesel generators which cost  a lot of money]
(4) Developing countries with high crime makes the cost of doing business expensive.

The book has stats of 2011,I have gathered data for July 2024.
1)In order for an apples to apples comparison, only the biggest cities in each country are chosen.
2)Only Four Seasons hotel prices are listed. (If Four Seasons is not there, a comparable 5 star hotel is chosen)(3) Cheapest room,with taxes.

Below is 2011 data from the book.

Country City (Name of alternate property if applicable) Rates in USD ($) [August 2011] Differences vs. Emerging Average
Brazil Sao Paulo (Fasano) 720 63%
DEVELOPED MARKETS AVERAGE 704 60%
Turkey Istanbul 659 49%
United Arab Emirates Dubai (Ritz-Carlton) 613 40%
Nigeria Lagos (Federal Palace) 597 35%
Argentina Buenos Aires 520 18%
Czech Republic Prague 517 17%
Saudi Arabia Riyadh 460 4%
EMERGING MARKETS AVERAGE 441 0%
Mexico Mexico City 440 -0.30%
Hungary Budapest 421 -5%
Egypt Cairo 380 -14%
India Mumbai 378 -14%
South Africa Johannesburg (The Westcliff) 365 -17%
China Shanghai 359 -19%
Poland Warsaw (Le Royal Meridien) 259 -41%
Thailand Bangkok 234 -47%
Indonesia Jakarta 230 -48%
Malaysia Kuala Lumpur (Ritz-Carlton) 160 -64%
Sri Lanka Colombo (Galle Face Hotel—Regency Wing) 156 -65%

Below is 2024 data that I have collected.

Country City (Name of alternate property if applicable) Rates in USD ($) [August 2024] Differences vs. Emerging Average [2024]
DEVELOPED MARKETS AVERAGE 1103 136%
Turkey Istanbul 970 107%
Hungary Budapest 779 66%
Brazil Sao Paulo (Fasano) 718 53%
South Africa Johannesburg (The Westcliff) 682 46%
Czech Republic Prague 660 41%
Argentina Buenos Aires 647 38%
Mexico Mexico City 647 38%
Thailand Bangkok 575 23%
EMERGING MARKETS AVERAGE 468 0%
Egypt Cairo 455 -3%
Saudi Arabia Riyadh 384 -18%
United Arab Emirates Dubai (Ritz-Carlton) 371 -21%
Indonesia Jakarta 335 -28%
Poland Warsaw (Le Royal Meridien) 299 -36%
China Shanghai 250 -47%
India Mumbai 215 -54%
Malaysia Kuala Lumpur (Ritz-Carlton) 203 -57%
Nigeria Lagos (Federal Palace) 167 -64%
Sri Lanka Colombo (Galle Face Hotel—Regency Wing) 143 -69%

Being lower in the list increases the probability of a country to have high economic growth.

Conclusion:
Nigeria(Lagos)  has improved  a lot.
South Africa has worsened.
Thailand has gotten a lot more expensive.

Footnotes:

  • If a city has no Four Seasons,the first alternative is Ritz Carlton followed by comparable hotels.
  • Hotels where two Four Seasons are located, the average price was used.
  • Developed markets average based on Four Seasons in the following cities: Chicago, Geneva, Hong Kong, London, Milan, New York, Paris, San Francisco, Singapore, Sydney and Tokyo.

Calculation for Developed Market Average:

City Rate in USD
Paris 2395
Milan 2252
London 1800
Geneva 1126
Tokyo 934
New York 922
Chicago 670
Hong Kong 670
Singapore 575
San Francisco 527
Sydney 263

I'm just surprised by how cheap Sydney, San Francisco is compared to European Capitals.

I'm available in the comments for q&a.

https://old.reddit.com/r/economy/comments/1dxdndk/research_update_statistics_from_book_breakout/

by wiseindian123

1 comment
  1. Russia was also one of the countries mentioned in the index,in the book.
    I have removed it from the table as I’m unable to get updated prices due to sanctions.

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