Far right surges in polls days before France vote • FRANCE 24 English

Far right surges in polls days before France vote • FRANCE 24 English

well we have been talking a lot on France 24 about the upcoming legislative election here in France the first round of course is this Sunday June 30th and I’m going to dive a little bit deeper into that with our French politics editor Mark prman who joins me on the set hi Mark hi Jam we were saying earlier that the farri right is seeming sounding very confident going into this vote are they right to be according to the latest polls they are absolutely right to be uh confident they’ve said they’ve repeated we need an absolute majority in uh the National Assembly to be able to really uh push through our uh program and the latest polls we’re seeing the images right now shows for the first time that they would indeed get this absolute majority in the National Assembly the magic number is 289 those are the number of seats you need to get an absolute majority so if you look at this the national rally is pulling between 230 and 270 however a small key group is the alliance between the president of the conservative party Eric suti who decided to leave essentially the party with some allies and there the alliance gives them 20 to 35 seats so if you do the math uh this means that the national rally and its allies in Parliament could indeed Reach This absolute majority this is only a poll you see that the number of projected seats is varying quite a lot because those are 577 races and it’s very difficult because it’s a two round election with a majority system so it’s very very difficult to project but it does show that uh just after the European election that prompted Emanuel Macon to call for the snap election they still have the momentum and they’re certainly hoping that this will uh be able this will allow them to win round one and be in poll position for round two and eventually get Jordan bardel to matino where the Prime Minister Works indeed so let’s say that the farri leader Jordan bardel becomes the Prime Minister Emanuel macron for the moment is still the French President of his Centrist party they call that a cohabitation here if that were to happen what would that look like how would that work well we’ve had this uh before three times uh already uh and it’s it’s obviously a difficult situation because you have a a president who was elected uh who then lost an election uh and is now with his key opponent and they have to deal together uh the way this works in France is that the Prime Minister deals mostly with domestic issues the president deals with foreign affairs and uh defense uh this morning Marine Leen the leader of the national uh rally uh said that well you know being the chief of the Army is essentially an honorific position meaning that that the Prime Minister also has his stay and she took the example of the possibility raised by Emanuel Macon of sending ground troops to Ukraine she said that uh through his power over the pur essentially the budget the Prime Minister could decide that there won’t be money to send troops to Ukraine and so this is clearly already an opening Salvo to show that Emmanuel macron that he will not be able to have a free hand on Foreign Affairs on defense Affairs if Jorden B is elected prime minister so obviously this could be very very difficult just for the record every time there has been a cohabitation and then eventually an election the Prime Minister lost that election obviously this won’t happen this time around because Emanuel macron will not be able to run for another mandate but maybe after deciding to call the snap election he’s feeling that eventually in 2027 that when there’ll be the next presidential election having uh uh used or maybe abuse his position as president and really Dent uh the national rally uh he might be able uh to say okay I’m handing the Baton to someone from my camp or at least not from the far right but this is clearly science fiction right now uh the next election is on Sunday round one we can expect one thing a much more turnout than in the previous legisl elections and in the then in the European election just a few weeks ago all right

France’s political future was up in the air on Thursday with the far right surging in polls but other forces fighting to the end three days before a high-stakes parliamentary vote.
#France #election #far-right

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