Could China’s diplomatic initiatives on the Ukraine war succeed? | Inside Story

32 comments

1. It is a US and NATO plot to engage India and China to help the peace deal with the rope of the UN charter. So the Allies send a Ukraine team to China and wants to talk with PM Modi in Ukraine. But India and China know the plot of the G-7.

2. Chris Weafer, the CEO of Micro Advisory, is the worst US and EU propagandist who reflects the Colonist Allies' mental wish to force their agenda ahead.

3. hmm why is everybody operating in the notion that ukraine is russias vassal state? estonia, latvia and now finland are all members of nato, so what is going to happen now? missiles launched from england can probably hit moscow in an hour, from germany half of that from those border countries 15 minutes tops? fact is vlad putin blinked and now he is trying very hard to show the world that he is a good guy but he is the one who did the invading of a sovereign nation. what can china do? china does all these high profile showmanship and yet occupies territories of its weaker neighbors, the houties are more honorable, doing the enforcement themselves

4. Russia will not fall for the ceasefire trick again, they are not stupid.

   Let's hope for a long & lasting peace & an end to war because at the end it's the people that suffer not the politicians.

5. Are NATO deployments a threat to Russia? In response to Russia's illegal annexation of Crimea and destabilisation of eastern Ukraine in 2014, NATO suspended practical cooperation with Russia, while maintaining political and military dialogue. We deployed four multinational battlegroups to the Baltic States and Poland in 2016. Before Russia's aggressive actions in 2014, there was no deployment of combat-ready NATO troops in the eastern part of the Alliance.

   Following Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, NATO has further reinforced its deterrence and defence posture. We have doubled the number of multinational battlegroups in the east of the Alliance from four to eight and put 40,000 troops under direct NATO command. We will continue to do what is needed to protect and defend every inch of Allied soil.

   NATO exercises and military deployments are not directed against Russia, or any other country. Outside NATO territory, the Alliance has a KFOR peacekeeping mission in Kosovo based on a United Nations Security Council mandate, and a train and assist mission in Iraq contributing to the fight against terrorism at the request of the Iraqi government.

   It is Russia's aggressive actions that have shattered peace in Europe and are undermining international security and stability. As well as its aggression against Ukraine, Russia has military bases and soldiers in Georgia and Moldova without the consent of their governments.

6. Will Ukraine actually join NATO? Ukraine will become a member of NATO. NATO supports the every country's right to choose its own security arrangements, including Ukraine. NATO's door remains open. NATO Allies decide on NATO membership. Russia does not have a veto.

   At the Vilnius Summit, Allies reaffirmed the commitment they made at the 2008 Summit in Bucharest that Ukraine will become a member of the Alliance when conditions are met and Allies agree. They agreed to remove the requirement for a Membership Action Plan, changing Ukraine's membership path from a two-step to a one-step process.

   NATO is stepping up its political and practical cooperation with Ukraine. President Zelenskyy attended the first meeting of the NATO-Ukraine Council at the Vilnius Summit, a platform for crisis consultation and decision-making between equals.

   NATO has also agreed a new multi-year assistance programme to help the Ukrainian armed forces transition from Soviet-era to NATO standards and strengthen Ukraine's security and defence sector to resist further Russian aggression. Ukraine is already closer to NATO that it has ever been. In Vilnius, Allied leaders reiterated that Ukraine's future is in NATO.

7. Do NATO's out-of-area operations prove that the Alliance is not defensive? NATO intervened in the former Yugoslavia to stop bloodshed and save lives. From 1992-1995, NATO conducted several military operations in Bosnia, including enforcing a no-fly-zone and providing air support for UN peacekeepers. These activities were mandated by the United Nations Security Council, of which Russia is a member. NATO air strikes against Bosnian Serb positions in 1995 helped pave the way for the Dayton peace agreement, which ended the war in Bosnia that had killed over 100,000 people. From 1996, NATO-led multinational peacekeeping forces in Bosnia, which included troops from Russia. The European Union took over that mission in 2004.

   NATO's operation in Kosovo in 1999 followed a year of intense international diplomatic efforts, which included Russia, to end the conflict. The UN Security Council repeatedly branded the ethnic cleansing in Kosovo and the growing number of refugees as a threat to international peace and security. NATO's mission helped to end large-scale and sustained violations of human rights and the killing of civilians. KFOR, NATO's ongoing peacekeeping mission in Kosovo, has a UNSC mandate (UNSCR 1244) and is supported by both Belgrade and Pristina.

   The NATO-led operation in Libya in 2011 was launched under the authority of two UN Security Council Resolutions (UNSCRs 1970 and 1973), neither of which was opposed by Russia. UNSCR 1973 authorised the international community "to take all necessary measures" to "protect civilians and civilian populated areas under threat of attack". This is what NATO did, with the political and military support of regional states and members of the Arab League.

8. Is NATO an aggressive alliance? NATO is a defensive alliance. It does not seek confrontation and poses no threat to Russia, or any other nations. NATO did not invade Georgia. NATO did not invade Ukraine. Russia did.

   NATO made significant efforts over many years to establish a strategic partnership with Russia. We established the NATO-Russia Council and worked together on issues ranging from counter-narcotics and counter-terrorism to submarine rescue and civil emergency planning, even during periods of NATO enlargement.

   It was Russia that gradually chipped away at any hopes of peaceful cooperation, with its pattern of increasingly aggressive behaviour, from Grozny to Georgia and Aleppo to Ukraine.

   NATO Allies engaged in persistent diplomatic efforts to convince Russia to change its course. NATO held a last meeting of the NATO-Russia Council in January 2022 to call on President Putin to step back from the brink. President Putin chose war.

   Myth:

9. Is not about Ukraine is much bigger than that, Ukraine is only to confuse people in the world.

10. The starting premise, that the military situation is a stalemate, is wrong. From there, everything else these analysts say becomes insensible.

11. Why should Russia agree for an armistice with a boarder not favorable to them and wait until Ucraine rearms?
    They will go to the Dnepro and take Odessa.

12. Missing is the voice of the people who live in the Donbas regions of Donetsk and Luhansk. Would they want to be a part of Ukraine, Russia or their own independence.

13. Ukraine had the Bedapesh memorandum of 1994, the essence of which was to adhere to a policy of neutrality. In 2008, Kyiv signed an application to join NATO. Finland received an army on the border on a permanent basis, which was not there.

14. Heard his word helps Ukraine 😅😅😅

15. China is Russia's ally? Winnie the Pooh and Putler are the same!

16. I am Chinese and I hope that Ukraine will regain all its territory and restore peace. Ukraine needs to know that having Russia as a neighbor is dangerous unless you have a strong military

17. Owen in Rome is a lair. Sick of this China hatred. 🤦🏽‍♂️

18. lol they think Putin is thick, he will never fall for a ceasefire, it would constitute total defeat for Russia. they know a cease fire will just be used to re arm. why would they fall for that. no, Putin will require capitulation by Zelensky and concession, on at the least Crimea, but probably Putin will want to keep the parts that they annexed recently. time will tell.

19. After listening to Mr. Weafer's analysis, the western "experts" still don't get it. Either we hope the new generations will get it or the west will never get it. Mr. Tangen said it loud and clear. China's agenda isn't to push one side to accept terms they don't like. Instead, China is setting a table for both sides to come to the table to talk. It is possible that they wouldn't never agree. That being said, they would not know until they start talking to each other. Does China have leverage? Absolutely. Will China use it and force Ukraine and Russia make some concessions? Maybe. But China won't do it openly and won't favor one side over the other. China is a manufacturing giant. They want the war to stop so that they can sell more products to Ukraine and Russia. Making peace in terms both sides agree would be a win-win-win situation.

20. Did NATO really promise not to extend eastward? Fact: Such an agreement was never made. NATO’s door has been open to new members since it was founded in 1949. This has never changed. No treaty signed by NATO Allies and Russia included provisions on NATO membership. Decisions on NATO membership are taken by consensus among all Allies. Russia does not have a veto.

    The idea of NATO enlargement beyond a united Germany was not on the agenda in 1989, particularly as the Warsaw Pact still existed until 1991. Mikhail Gorbachev said in an interview in 2014: "The topic of 'NATO expansion' was not discussed at all, and it wasn't brought up in those years. I say this with full responsibility. Not a single Eastern European country raised the issue, not even after the Warsaw Pact ceased to exist in 1991. Western leaders didn't bring it up either."

    Individual Allies cannot make agreements on NATO’s behalf. President Clinton consistently refused Boris Yeltsin's offer to commit that no former Soviet Republics would join NATO: "I can't make commitments on behalf of NATO, and I'm not going to be in the position myself of vetoing NATO expansion with respect to any country, much less letting you or anyone else do so… NATO operates by consensus," he said.

    The wording “NATO expansion” is already part of the myth. NATO did not hunt for new members or want to “expand eastward.” NATO respects every nation’s right to choose its own path. NATO membership is a decision for NATO Allies and those countries who wish to join alone. Russia threatens its peaceful neighbours which causes them to seek safety in NATO.

21. No, China is wasting time on Ukraine. In the end, Ukraine is nothing but a proxy of US.

22. Is NATO encircling Russia? Russia is the world's largest country geographically. It is almost twice the size of the US and China.

    When Finland joined the Alliance in April 2023, NATO's land border with Russia more than doubled. Even after Finland's accession, only 11% of Russia's land border is shared with NATO countries.

    No one has backed Russia into a corner. It is hard to encircle a country with eleven time zones

23. If you want war, go to the United States; if you want peace or business, come to China.

24. Let's not leave the history. It's vital to be transparent about it and learn from it in order to stop these insane wars.

25. Wow. Incredible commentary. Wonder how these guys would have coverred Chamberlain's diplomacy in Munich?

26. Comparing sweden and finland joining nato vs Ukraine is huge difference. Russia has historic ties with Ukraine and Used to belong to Russian empire also Ukraine has nationism idiology of bandera that is extremely dangerous to Russia not to mention Ukraine has 7x bigger population then Finland

27. Climate had changed when Biden declared stepping out of US election.
    Zelensky is free to settle war with China at the moment.

28. Why this channel is not banned on yt?

29. That guy highlighted Russia 🇷🇺. Should leave Russia if he’s staying there

30. That did happen US & its allies agreed Nato won’t push towards Russ ia Jeffery Sachs said it:

31. China is a communist dictatorship – a threat to freedom – they are not helping anyone

32. 没那么容易，表面看俄罗斯还想与北约再拉开一些距离，而乌克兰想要回所有领土。如果特朗普当选那么必然停火，因为特朗普认为这场持续的消耗战只有中国得到了利益，即使战争再打下去想要重建，还是中国资本与中国承包商。中国在背后能让即使受到前所未有制裁的俄罗斯经济依然保持增长。他不认为俄罗斯是威胁，他也不认为朝鲜是威胁，但是他认为中国是威胁，会严重影响美国利益。