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Kamala Harris Leads Trump in Election Betting Odds for First Time

  • August 1, 2024



Kamala Harris Leads Trump in Election Betting Odds for First Time

JUST IN: Kamala Harris Leads Trump in Election Betting Odds for First Time



Posted by Quirkie

21 comments

  1. Some guy last week was trolling about how Trump was still the odds on favorite by quite a bit, at least that irrelevant talking point is gone

  5. That was quick. Also, Kamala is doing a hell of a job right out the gate. Also, Trump is shooting his self in the foot before everyone eyes.

  7. I just checked mybookie.ag, where I bet on sports. If I lay $20 on Trump today, I would win $11 if he wins. If I lay $20 on KH, I would win $27. Not sure how that means she’s leading him in betting odds… Quite the contrary. And same odds basically applies across all online betting, and generally lines up with Vegas. They’re all always about the same.

  8. First, enthusiasm – tough to measure but for sure she had it on day 2. Then favorability – the numbers don’t lie and this has been well polled – she has turned favorability one around at least 20 points. Finally about 2 weeks later you see voter intention polls and we are just short of those numbers coming out. You can literally graph this stuff with a ruler. I 100% guarantee you she will win and it won’t even be close.

  11. DO NOT get ahead of yourself folks, there’s a lot of work to do yet, a lot. Let’s not blow this. This is the real deal, this can happen, but it’s a long way to go yet. Let’s keep our heads down and do the work. It will be so so sweet if this can be pulled off and it can !!

  12. I have zero faith in polls from either side these days, however when people put their money where their mouth is…it’s an interesting caveat when compared to cheap clicks or telephone calls. I would think the betting odds for Trump to win in 2016 would have been interesting to see, because a LOT of people voted for him and they would have also been looking to place bets.

    Edit:

    NEVERMIND polls are likely better statistically. It was actually created in 2014, and they gave Hillary a 82% chance at beating Trump until Nov 7 when it flipped completely (voting prob made it clear that day).

    [https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/1234/Who-will-win-the-2016-US-presidential-election](https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/1234/Who-will-win-the-2016-US-presidential-election)

  14. Ummmm just checked she’s still down 7 points she did move up but not winning

  20. Dude, anyone but Harris is a better pick. Hillary, Michele. Harris is the worst VP, the most hated VP, a corrupt prosecutor, and slept her way into politics. She is not the best pick.

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