How important is every contest to each candidate’s chance of winning the election?

Posted by animacules1

6 comments
  1. It must really suck to live in Pennsylvania. Must be getting inundated with ads and such.

  2. This data is literally anything but beautiful. You’re telling me Trump has a better chance of winning the election if he wins Rhode Island over California?? Someone please explain this to me because I’m struggling to see it.

  3. No way there’s only an 86% chance of winning the election if Trump takes California.

    How was this data generated?

  4. This data seems to suggest that this model currently believes there is about a 53.3% chance Harris wins the election. That’s the number next to California, which she will almost certainly win, in and off itself predicting basically nothing.

    Similarly Trump’s chances according to this are 46.3% (via Wyoming and some others).

    These probilites are sure to change over the coming months and of course anyone who cares about the outcome of this election should vote.

    https://www.vote.org/

  5. 1 person should be 1 vote, then we add them up and BAM! We have representation.

Leave a Reply