Labour losing support in Scotland after winter fuel payment row | Poll based on voting intentions for Holyrood election show Anas Sarwar’s party falling behind SNP as Reform makes ground



Analysis by Prof. John Curtice suggests, the results (according to the poll) would be:

  • SNP: 47 Seats
  • Labour: 33 Seats
  • Conservatives: 16 Seats
  • Reform: 16 Seats
  • Greens: 9 Seats
  • Lib Dems: 8 Seats

by backupJM

5 comments
  1. Polling results:

    **Constituency vote**

    – SNP: 32%
    – Labour: 25%
    – Conservatives: 12%
    – Reform: 12%
    – Lib Dem: 8%
    – Greens: 7%
    – other: 3%

    **Regional vote**

    – SNP: 30%
    – Labour: 25%
    – Conservatives: 12%
    – Reform: 12%
    – Lib Dem: 8%
    – Greens: 8%
    – other: 4%

    Would be a crazy result – governance would be difficult, with a balancing act needed between each party. Will be interesting to see if that Reform share holds steady through to 2026, and once the tories have established their leaders.

    Also interesting polling from the article:

    >Senior Labour figures have stressed the party is not minded to devolve many more powers to Holyrood as part of its offer to Scottish voters.

    >However, 50 per cent of those polled by Opinium said the Scottish parliament had too little power, including 27 per cent of “no” voters.

  2. After being pampered for years a part of the country still want to be pampered and will vote in people who promise this shocker

  3. Interesting shift in the polls! It’ll be fascinating to see how this plays out in the next election

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