Ukrainian Army attacked oil depot in Feodosia with new weapons, Russians begin mass evacuation

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As reported Ukraine attacked the oil depot in Feodosia on the night of October 7. The Marine Oil Terminal – the largest in Crimea in terms of oil products transshipment volume – came under attack. A strong fire started. Apparently, drones hit the facility in several places, as photos with three columns of thick black smoke appeared in social networks. The city authorities introduced a regime of technogenic emergency of a municipal nature, restricting access of people and transport to the affected area. No casualties were reported.
Ukrainian media wrote that the facility was attacked by drones, and Russian media — that there were two missiles.
Defense Express expert Valeriy Ryabykh voiced his opinion regarding the events in Feodosia on October 7.
He does not rule out that Kyiv carried out an attack on the oil depot using new weapons. He did not rule out that, most likely, these were medium-range drones, but which can carry an explosive weighing up to 20 kg. It is possible that the range of the drones is from 500 to 600 kilometers.
Ryabykh does not rule out that Kyiv used one of the three types of the Palianytsia drone missile in yesterday’s operation.
It is also possible that the strikes were carried out with long-range missiles supplied to Kyiv by the West. We are talking about the British Storm Shadow missiles.
The most interesting thing is that the Pantsir air defense system has been installed at the oil depot since the autumn of 2022, but it was unable to intercept all the air targets that attacked the terminal.
Meanwhile, the fire at the oil depot in Feodosia has entered its second day. The media reports that five fuel tanks are burning. The occupation authorities have resettled residents of the private sector from the emergency zone. Late yesterday evening, one of the burning fuel tanks exploded.
So far, they have not been able to extinguish the oil depot in Crimea in Feodosia, which caught fire on October 7 as a result of a drone attack. The Russian-appointed ‘mayor’ of the city, Igor Tkachenko, said that ‘work on the elimination of the fire continues’ and ‘to ensure the safety of people living near the site of the emergency – in the areas of the Black Sea embankment and Near Kamyshy, evacuation was carried out’. In particular, 1,047 people were sent to temporary accommodation centres – hotels and boarding houses. Tkachenko added that the evacuees were examined by medics. It is noteworthy that the Pantsir C1 air defence system was deployed on the territory of the port, where the terminal is located. This was found out by Radio Svaboda journalists after analysing satellite images. However, the unit failed to repel the attack of Ukrainian drones.
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10 comments
  1. Ukraine’s ability to put a nuclear weapon on one of these drones (missiles) must terrify Putin. Ukraine has the materials, expertise and resources to build Nuclear weapons. It was estimated at the start of the war that would take about 3 years. Ukraine is a world leader in atomic energy/weapons. In 1949, the first Nuclear Weapon detonated by the USSR was designed by Ukrainians in “Laboratory No 1” in Kharkiv.

    Putin and the Oligarchs must now factor into their plans the likelihood that Ukraine has nuclear weapons in serial production and a delivery system that can reach Moscow.

    Ukraine acceded to the NPT on the express stipulation that Russia and other nations provide security guarantees in the Budapest Declaration – which Russia has breached. In 2022/3 Russia & Belarus also breached the NPT when Belarus agreed to “host” Russian tactical nuclear weapons. The fig leaf hiding this breach is that the warheads are under the “control’ of Russia. Seminally these weapons are attached to missiles which are under the full control of Belarus. International observers agree this amounts to the weapons being under the control of Belarus (ie they hold the power to decide to launch without further reference to Russia.)

    On April 15, 2021, Ukrainian Ambassador to Germany Melnyk said that if Ukraine is not allowed to join NATO, his country might have to reconsider its status as a non-nuclear weapon state to guarantee its defense. During the Russian invasion of Ukraine, Zelensky renewed such sentiments, suggesting that Ukraine could view the Budapest Memorandum as invalid should its security assurances not be met. There is strong international opinion that Ukraine legally doesn’t need to withdraw from the NPT, the agreement has been rendered moot for Ukraine at the moment Russia breached the Budapest Declaration.

    (The West negotiated the Budapest Declaration for Russia and disarmed all their surrounding states. Now Russians are giving assistance for WMDs to Iran and the DPRK. Russians are forcing Ukraine to rebuild its WMDs. Russians have put Nuclear weapons in the hands of Belarus. Russians will eventually need to clean up the mess they’ve made.)

    The West has already recognised that a nuclear armed Ukraine (and Belarus) is inevitable. In April 2023, former US president Bill Clinton expressed regret at pressuring Ukraine to give up nuclear weapons, in light of the 2014 Russian invasion of Ukraine and escalation of the Russo-Ukrainian War from 2022. Clinton would only make a foreign policy statement like that if it was approved by the current administration. For Americans, it’s an often used back door way of announcing an unpopular inevitability.

    Significantly, Ukraine has not signed or ratified the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons (TPNW). In October 2023, Ukraine changed its vote from “abstain” to “against” for the annual UNGA resolution reaffirming the TPNW. Why would a State threatened my a nuclear neighbour vote against the TPNW … unless they are themselves rearming?

    This makes sense. At the moment, Putin rattling his rusty old nukes is just seen as hot air. The West’s surveillance capacity is very good. They know exactly where every Russian WMD is and if it’s being prepared for use. If Putin’s threats do become serious, someone will then have to launch a preemptive decapitation strike of Russia’s major cities and missile silos. France, Britain and the USA don’t want that stain on their reputation. It’s much better if Ukraine does the job with wholly indigenous weapons – it can then be unambiguously seen as David striking down a bone head Goliath. Before that, Ukraine is unlikely to suddenly announce it is a nuclear power. They are more likely to adopt the same policy as Israel – “Nuclear ambiguity”. If you were Putin (or his Oligarchs), would you take the risk?

    As an aside, Ukraine does not have International inspectors. The State Nuclear Regulatory Inspectorate of Ukraine (SNRIU) reports to the Ukrainian cabinet. The inspection power for the Non Proliferation Treaty (NPT) is notoriously weak, really only supported by the Open Skies Treaty which enables flyovers of territory. But the risk of Russia shooting down an inspection plane makes even that impossible. There’s also usually voluntary access to inspectors which, regrettably, Ukraine has had to suspend due to Russia’s systematic targeting of their power infrastructure. The only remaining independent international inspectors are at Ukraine’s Russian-occupied Zaporizhzhia nuclear power station. So Ukraine is free to advance its weapons program with minimal oversight.

  2. I think that after the conversation with Trump and VP Haris in America, President Zelenskyy decided to give up Crimea and therefore to shoot too it's own oil depots. 😳

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