UUkraine

Putin bet on “war of attrition” in Ukraine, but will face big problems

  • October 17, 2024



Putin bet on “war of attrition” in Ukraine, but will face big problems

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Russian President Vladimir Putin’s current “theory of victory” in Ukraine is aimed at prolonging the fighting. He assumes that his occupying forces can outlast Western support for the Ukrainian Armed Forces and crush their resistance, winning a war of attrition.

This is what analysts at the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) have pointed out. According to them, Russia will face serious medium- and long-term constraints that will undermine these strategic efforts of the aggressor.

It is noted that the Kremlin has ordered its army to conduct a year-long offensive along the front line in eastern and northeastern Ukraine. They are aimed at depleting the Defense Forces and preventing Kiev from accumulating the necessary manpower and material resources to conduct counter-offensive operations that contradict the Russian Federation’s common front initiative.

“Putin and the Russian military command likely view maintaining the all-front initiative as a strategic priority. They have shown themselves tolerant of protracted offensive operations that result in gradual, slow progress far from their intended operational objectives,” ISW assessed the aggressor’s intentions.

They explained that the Russian military is currently trying to eliminate the challenge to its initiative in the theater of military operations in the Kursk region of the Russian Federation following the Ukrainian offensive in early August 2024, while simultaneously maintaining offensive pressure in eastern Ukraine to achieve long-term operational goals.

The intensified offensive of the Russian troops in the summer of 2024 to capture Pokrovsk and reduce the wider Ukrainian salient in the west of Donetsk region, experts believe, will reach its culmination in the coming months. Although it is possible that the command of the occupiers will continue to involve them in the general strategic efforts to maintain the initiative on the front line and exhaust the Ukrainian Armed Forces far beyond this point of operational culmination, regardless of the state of their combat capability.

“This ‘victory theory’ of Putin’s is based on the Russian Armed Forces conducting successive offensives over an indefinite period of time, but such attritional attacks will significantly weaken Russia’s available manpower and material resources. So Russian forces will have to slow down the pace of the offensive, at least in certain parts of the front, which will give the Ukrainian Armed Forces the opportunity to contest and possibly seize the initiative on the battlefield in these areas,” ISW analysts expressed their conviction.
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Tags: #Ukriane, #Russia, #Putin, #Putler, #Russian invasion of Ukraine, #Zelenski, #Kiev, #Kyiv, #Kadirov army, #Kadirov, #Kherson, #Bucha, #Kharkiv, #Ukrainian pilots, #vagners, #Russian tanks, #NATO, #drones, #Moscow, #Kreml, #war victims #Ukraina, News, The Washington Post, waPo Video, Washington Post Video, Washington Post YouTube, a:politics, aid, biden, putin, s:Politics, support, t:Other, Ukraine, war, fact check, news coverage, Donald Trump, news, wp video, forbes, nytimes, newspaper, media, journalism, Ilham Aliyev, Baku, Azerbaijan, Israel, Gaza, Palestine, Tel-Aviv, Garabag, Karabakh, football, ronaldo, messi, brian tyler cohen

7 comments

  1. In a war of attrition, Mr. Putin, be careful what you wish for, you feeble, genocidal dictator, who has managed to kill more than half a million Russians in a quest to steal stuff that does not belong to Russia.

  3. There is no scientific evidence that storms are getting worse it pseudoscience, like flat earth theory and run away global warming do to anthropogenic global warming (human caused) the number of deaths due to natural disasters are very very low compared to historically. Denmark has had 12.000 and 8.000 deaths and even more livestock deaths due to storm flooding in the past, but after the industrialization and the technology and government change it resulted in, now the worst storm surge resulted in 2-4 deaths, not thousands of deaths no 2-4 deaths, it’s because we have very strict regulations about where you can build and what materials you can use and what quality is allowed, our infrastructure and drain systems also helps. It’s not a whether or CO2 problem, just like with Turkey and Haiti the problem is cultural, lack of enforcement, it’s not because the rules are not in place or the knowledge is lacking, people don’t care and the government is corrupt, short term thinking that’s not going to happen in my lifetime 🤷‍♂️ but sometimes it does, you build like idiots like there is no next year 🤷‍♂️ the 3 little pigs all build a home who do you think you are 🤷‍♂️

  4. Where I live the whether is definitely getting better, on average there are no evidence it’s getting uninhabitable for humans, that would also be against all science to claim so, where you live is it the end of the world because of the weather or does it just look like that because we are shown the worst and not the average 14/11 degrees Celsius the next 10 days, 3-7 kilometers a second wind the next 10 days are what our official forecast says 😱 definitely the end of the world 😂

  5. Putin will never win this war. But he keeps thinking that if he can keep throwing men into the meat grinder that it will slow down the Ukrainian armed forces. So sad.

  6. Why should I living in MN pay ridiculous premiums for goofballs who want to live and insure THE UNINSURABLE. Make those bright bulbs see what Lorde's of London thinks of those very smart folks that insist on living the the now unlivable

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