After Israel’s attack on Iran, what happens next?

https://www.thetimes.com/world/middle-east/article/israel-airstrike-iran-tehran-attack-news-20bd57xg6

Posted by TimesandSundayTimes

26 comments
  1. Why would Israel stop?
    I suspect they’ll continue attacking the IRGC indefinitely to undermine the Khamenei regime.

  2. First we actually need to assess the damage of Israel’s attack. So give it like 24-48hrs.

    Some indications that the Israelis only struck military targets and power stations(industry) in Iran. Haven’t seen an assessment of damages from Syria. Chance that Iran will not directly respond. And the war will continue with Hezbollah, Hamas, and the Houthis chipping away at Israel, with the Israeli Gov unable to reconstitute the previous status qou.

    The low-level conflict of drone/rocket launches into Israel can continue indefinitely, as long as the Iranian axis would like.

    Israel says they will be out of South Lebanon within 2 weeks, seems things are not going well there. Israeli MOD said to US Sec of State they will continue on with air assaults in South Lebanon.

  3. Israel and Iran will keep exchanging fire with one another until Trump becomes president and then Iran will be demilitarized.

  4. Only thing I’m afraid is Iran choking the strait of hormuz disrupting 30% of world’s oil trade. They are pretty capable of choking the point unless US ships in Persian Gulf engage Iran.

  5. More retaliatory strikes from Iran, then some more from Israel, then some from Iran again, etc etc. All this talk of “de-escalation through escalation” is the most nonsensical neocon talking point ever.

  6. Logic? I don’t think so.

    Whatever you think about Gaza and Lebanon, Israel is not the aggressor with Iran. THIS was the retaliation.

    Iron Dome is not intended for ballistic missiles and some did get through.

  7. The language from the Iranian media suggests they are attempting to de-escalate.

    Alot of media outlets in Tehran are claiming all attacks were thwarted and caused no damage. This clearly isn’t the case but the language suggests an off ramp to de-escalation.

  8. Probably a second wave. This was obviously a test attack to see what kind of defense system Iran employed

  9. Iran will raise their red flag, and then make a big speech about retaliation blah blah, then do nothing for a while and during that Israel will probably attack once again, followed by diplomacy and deescalation. This attack has made Iran a laughing stock and everyone has taken notice they can’t even defend their own air space

  10. Early reactions from Iran suggests that Iran will try to pretend nothing of consequence happened, which suggests that Iran don’t want to continue the exchange.

  11. It’s a good chance to de-escalate, at least from direct conflict. I’m sure both sides are planning future operations, but hopefully direct attacks have run their course.

  12. What happens next is some poor civil servant is going to have to take off the banners across Tehran that says “Tel Aviv is our battleground, not Tehran.”

    Hopefully this somewhat puts some sense in the Iranians who comically think highly of themselves because of their ability to send hundreds of water heaters in which a handful land with no real damage. The real achievement in this day and age is the ability to shoot down missiles, not send a missile. For every water heater Iran has to reach Israel, Israel has multiples that can reach Iran, and just about every one of Israel’s is likely to hit target unlike Iran’s.

  13. nothing until the us election. once that is done netanyahu will move to a more radical solution in north gaza and then start building his canal. his dream project.

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