[OC] How many times has your state been a swing state in the presidential election?

Posted by czarxander

27 comments
  1. [Dataset](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1NytnimLbKrhlJL5fjR1v9ecD0S7Tchnq2jTSKqcNSwo/edit?usp=sharing)

    Source: [uselectionatlas.org](http://uselectionatlas.org/)

    Created using Google Sheets and MapChart extension.

    **Question to answer: how many times has each state been a key swing state in the 16 presidential elections since 1960?**

    **Top 10:**
    1: Wisconsin (10)
    =2: Pennsylvania (8)
    =2: North Carolina (8)
    =2: Nevada (8)
    =2: Florida (8)
    6: Ohio (7)
    =7: Minnesota (6)
    =7: Missouri (6)
    =9: Arizona (5)
    =9: Texas (5)
    =9: New Mexico (5)
    =9: Tennessee (5)

    =45: Kansas, Nebraska, Connecticut, Utah, North Dakota, Wyoming, DC (0)

    Re: 1960 cutoff: the 1960 US presidential election was the first to include Alaska and Hawaii, each having acquired statehood in 1959.

  2. I grew up in Wisconsin but haven’t lived there for about 5 years now. I still get nearly daily texts around any election about voting in Wisconsin races.

  3. I think it would be interesting instead of setting a specific threshold to have a summed margin of victory over the last X elections. Might just be another way to show the same conclusions but would be interesting to have a continuous scale instead of discrete

  4. In Wisconsin, all that swinging is just a byproduct of being constantly inebriated.

  5. Diverging color scheme isn’t a great choice for this. Normally suited for when the middle color is 0 or an average and you’re trying to highlight differences from that color.

    In this case a simple 2 color scheme would convey info a bit better.

  6. Beautiful? Huh? A rainbow pallet for a continuous variable that goes from 1-10? What is this horror I see?

    When you are coding variables onto your data, for the love of god DON’T USE RAINBOW PALLET! There are very few instances when they would make sense.

    Instead, use a single color gradient for showing level of intensity (which you are showing with the map). Rainbow makes your head hurt and renders the visual confusing to anyone who sees it.

    BTW, I love the visualization, the delivery is technically unsound, but the data and underlying question is awesome!

  7. Those poor swing states. I can’t imagine the number of negatively ads they must have to endure every election cycle

  8. Can we show this to all the electoral college defenders who bitch that they don’t want 6 states deciding every election if there’s a popular vote?

  9. So weird that this country just decided that the vote of individuals in these red states don’t really matter.

  10. The only real shock to me is NV. I would not have guessed it would have 8. And I guess I would have expected more from MI.

  11. My state has never been a swing state. The benefit of that? This election season I can count the number of presidential political adds I’ve seen on one hand.

  12. Swing means could swing the election to one side or the other. Just because the margin was less than 5% doesn’t mean it had the potential to swing the election. For example, the 1984 election was such a landslide, there were no swing states. Reagan won Massachusetts 51-48, but that didn’t make it a swing state.

  13. Kind of wild that Minnesota is the only state that hasn’t voted for a Republican in 52 years.

  14. I like the idea, would have suggested a different color scale. Really tough to get out of this that red is low, light white is somehow mid and blue is super high. Maybe white to orange to red instead? Cool view though!

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