The outcome of the 2024 US presidential election will have profound implications for the EU-US relationship, potentially reshaping global security dynamics, particularly in Central and Eastern Europe. Whether it’s a Trump return, a Harris presidency or political gridlock, Europe must prepare for a new transatlantic reality.

Transatlantic partnership has long been a cornerstone of Western diplomacy and global security. However, the results of the 2024 US presidential election this November could bring about significant changes in the alliance

At the Europe Future Forum held by Visegrad Insight in Warsaw this September, high-ranking officials from both sides of the Atlantic discussed, under anonymity, three potential frameworks for future EU-US relations, based on not two, but three possible electoral outcomes.

‘America first’ redux

If Donald Trump reclaims the presidency in 2024, the EU-US relationship will likely face renewed tensions. However, Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries may benefit from the administration’s more transactional approach.

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