2024 is set to be the first year that breaches the 1.5°C warming limit

2024 is now almost certain to become the first year on record when average temperatures exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels, breaching the threshold set by the Paris Agreement.

“At this point, barring an asteroid impact or a massive volcanic eruption… I think it’s safe to say this will be the first year above 1.5 degrees,” says Zeke Hausfather at US non-profit Berkeley Earth.

Last year, the average surface temperature across the globe was 1.45°C above the…