Ukraine could block Crimea this year — Military expert

Ukraine could block Crimea this year — Military expert

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Serhiy Zgurets, Ukrainian military expert, noted that 2024 is not associated with large-scale offensive actions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. He shared his opinions with Espreso TV.

“Ukraine’s military leadership has stated the need to implement a mobile defense strategy. The main task at the current stage is to deplete the enemy as much as possible and create the preconditions for offensive actions. President Zelenskyy also mentioned this, but the timing for offensive actions remains uncertain. Ukraine currently lacks sufficient reserves, even with the 14 brigades that require Western assistance to be fully manned. Therefore, this year is not expected to see large-scale offensive actions by the Ukrainian Armed Forces. However, mobile defense in certain tactical areas aimed at destroying the enemy will be implemented this year,” Zgurets said.

According to a military expert, Ukraine has a chance to block Crimea using long-range systems, drones, and other methods. This could make Crimea a bargaining chip in negotiations with Russia, potentially influencing the negotiating position.

“Changes on the front line through offensive actions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces this year are hardly possible or advisable. Our military leadership understands this. On the other hand, our partners must understand that holding the front line and destroying the enemy in the maximum possible number depends on the effectiveness of European and American assistance,” emphasized Zgurets.

Lasta week marked another milestone in the Battle of the Black Sea as the Russian Navy reportedly withdrew its last remaining patrol ship from occupied Crimea. The news was announced by Ukrainian Navy spokesperson Dmytro Pletenchuk, who signaled the historic nature of the Russian retreat with the words: “Remember this day.”

The withdrawal of Russian warships from Crimea is the latest indication that against all odds, Ukraine is actually winning the war at sea. When the full-scale invasion began, the Russian Black Sea Fleet had seventy four warships, most of which were based at ports in Russian-occupied Crimea. In a little over two years, Ukraine managed to sink or damage around one third of these ships. In the second half of 2023, reports were already emerging of Russian warships being hurriedly moved across the Black Sea from Crimea to the relative safety of Novorossiysk in Russia. By March 2024, the Russian Black Sea Fleet had become “functionally inactive,” according to the British Ministry of Defense. Ukraine’s remarkable success in the Battle of the Black Sea has had significant practical implications for the wider war. It has disrupted Russian logistics and hindered the resupply of Russian troops in southern Ukraine, while limiting Russia’s ability to bomb Ukrainian targets from warships armed with cruise missiles.

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