HomeWorldPoliticsIran vs. Israel: Breaking down their military strengths, potential conflict scenarios, and how their technologies and alliances position them in this situation.
Iran vs. Israel: Breaking down their military strengths, potential conflict scenarios, and how their technologies and alliances position them in this situation.
Kind of funny that the first point about an Israeli/Iranian conflict is to cite the amount of tanks.
Any analysis of military strength that does’t even talk about the strength of Iran’s proxy forces isn’t really much of an analysis.
The numbers alone don’t mean much in this kind of conflict.
While Iran can cause some damage to Israel, their “551 aircraft for strong aerial defense and offense” can’t even reach Israel, conduct airstrikes and return to Iran, so it’s not relevant.
Israel on the other hand has proved that it can attack in places further away from Iran (Yemen), destroy entire complexes and return home safely.
Also, the multi-layered defense capabilities which Israel has and iran isn’t, will be a game changer in this type of warfare also.
So basically, it doesn’t matter how much aircrafts, tanks and armored vehicles you have, what’s important is who’s your friends (Israel have the entire western allies besides them), your ability to make your opponent collapse in a relatively short amount of time (Israel can do all sort of stuff in order to do so, i’m not even talking about the unconventional means) and your ability to protect yourself as much as possible (again, multi-layered defense capabilities vs basically the nothing that iran have).
While Iran will probably try to regain some of their dignity, they know that in a relatively short time, if they overdo it they could cause the collapse of their country and regime.
It is not going to be a ground war. Neither Iran nor Israel can pull off the supporting logistics.
Option 1: Israel somehow manages to persuade the USA to fight Iran for them. The war is happening. Option 2: Israel does not manage to persuade the USA to fight Iran for them. The war is not happening because nobody can deliver troops.
Yes, it’s as simple as that. You can’t win a war just by bombing your enemy (Israel) or getting your proxy to throw missiles at your enemy (Iran). Bombs and missiles are not capable of conquering territory.
Imagine a boxing match between a 6’5″ fighter in full protective armor and a 5’5″ fighter without any gear. That’s a bit like how a conflict between Israel and Iran would look. It wouldn’t be a ground war but an air war, and Israel has the upper hand with its advanced stealth jets. They can strike targets deep inside Iran without being detected, and Iran doesn’t have the technology to track or destroy those F-35s. In such a scenario, Iran wouldn’t be able to retaliate effectively; the most they could do is launch some missiles.
That’s why Iran’s pursuit of a nuclear bomb is so critical. If Iran ever gets a nuclear bomb, the balance shifts. Even if just one missile from Iran manages to hit a major Israeli city—something we all hope never happens—it would be catastrophic. Israel would likely respond with its own nuclear weapons, leading to mutual destruction.
But with a nuclear bomb in its arsenal, Iran would change the game entirely. The dynamic between the two countries would be balanced, much like the situation between India and Pakistan. Both would know that any conflict could escalate into something that neither side can win.
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Kind of funny that the first point about an Israeli/Iranian conflict is to cite the amount of tanks.
Any analysis of military strength that does’t even talk about the strength of Iran’s proxy forces isn’t really much of an analysis.
The numbers alone don’t mean much in this kind of conflict.
While Iran can cause some damage to Israel, their “551 aircraft for strong aerial defense and offense” can’t even reach Israel, conduct airstrikes and return to Iran, so it’s not relevant.
Israel on the other hand has proved that it can attack in places further away from Iran (Yemen), destroy entire complexes and return home safely.
Also, the multi-layered defense capabilities which Israel has and iran isn’t, will be a game changer in this type of warfare also.
So basically, it doesn’t matter how much aircrafts, tanks and armored vehicles you have, what’s important is who’s your friends (Israel have the entire western allies besides them), your ability to make your opponent collapse in a relatively short amount of time (Israel can do all sort of stuff in order to do so, i’m not even talking about the unconventional means) and your ability to protect yourself as much as possible (again, multi-layered defense capabilities vs basically the nothing that iran have).
While Iran will probably try to regain some of their dignity, they know that in a relatively short time, if they overdo it they could cause the collapse of their country and regime.
It is not going to be a ground war. Neither Iran nor Israel can pull off the supporting logistics.
Option 1: Israel somehow manages to persuade the USA to fight Iran for them. The war is happening.
Option 2: Israel does not manage to persuade the USA to fight Iran for them. The war is not happening because nobody can deliver troops.
Yes, it’s as simple as that. You can’t win a war just by bombing your enemy (Israel) or getting your proxy to throw missiles at your enemy (Iran). Bombs and missiles are not capable of conquering territory.
Imagine a boxing match between a 6’5″ fighter in full protective armor and a 5’5″ fighter without any gear. That’s a bit like how a conflict between Israel and Iran would look. It wouldn’t be a ground war but an air war, and Israel has the upper hand with its advanced stealth jets. They can strike targets deep inside Iran without being detected, and Iran doesn’t have the technology to track or destroy those F-35s. In such a scenario, Iran wouldn’t be able to retaliate effectively; the most they could do is launch some missiles.
That’s why Iran’s pursuit of a nuclear bomb is so critical. If Iran ever gets a nuclear bomb, the balance shifts. Even if just one missile from Iran manages to hit a major Israeli city—something we all hope never happens—it would be catastrophic. Israel would likely respond with its own nuclear weapons, leading to mutual destruction.
But with a nuclear bomb in its arsenal, Iran would change the game entirely. The dynamic between the two countries would be balanced, much like the situation between India and Pakistan. Both would know that any conflict could escalate into something that neither side can win.