Russia surrenders to days-long fires – Ukraine launches a new method of pressure

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Ukraine’s Defense Forces have shifted their focus from attacking refineries to targeting oil depots. This change, marked by regular fires at Russian oil depots in August, has raised questions about the strategic benefits of such a decision, according to Espresso TV.

Oleksandr Kovalenko, a Ukrainian military and political observer with the Information Resistance group, has delved into the issue.

One notable example is the fire in Proletarsk, Rostov Region, which burned for 10 days. But why move away from refineries after seemingly successful attacks? Let’s explore the reasoning.

Since late 2023, Ukrainian forces have consistently targeted Russian oil refineries, leading to temporary shutdowns and repairs. However, these refineries eventually resumed operations, which isn’t surprising.

A refinery operates like a small city, and disabling it for an extended period requires more than just a drone with 30 kg of explosives. While a drone can halt operations temporarily, it cannot cause long-term paralysis. In contrast, oil depots present a different and more vulnerable target.

Ukraine now has ‘kamikaze’ drones with a range of up to 2,500 km, putting numerous Russian oil depots at risk. These depots, numbering in the hundreds and varying in size, operate a substantial number of storage tanks—over 2,550 before the strikes began.

The key point is that Russia has a limited number of tanks, and rebuilding or replacing them takes much longer than repairing a refinery after a similar attack. Moreover, these strikes on oil depots are more impactful, as the number of tanks decreases with each hit, and the effect is more severe than refinery attacks.

The immediate visual impact of an oil depot attack—tanks engulfed in flames and black smoke visible for kilometers—is striking. For Ukrainians, it’s a cause for satisfaction, while for Russians, it’s a source of shock, confusion, and realization of the authorities’ powerlessness. This is just one aspect; there are others worth noting.

Firstly, the effectiveness of oil depot attacks lies in their efficiency. Secondly, the impact on the frontline is significant. Thirdly, there’s the issue of oil production. The critical point here is that if oil production stops at these mostly depleted fields, restoring them would be nearly impossible. Russia’s oil fields are in a dire situation—produce to the last drop or face collapse. Even when oil prices fell below $30 per barrel, Russian fields continued production at a loss, storing the excess in anticipation of better times.

The destruction of these storage tanks, which are limited in number, could lead Russia to an oil crisis. The country might find itself with no storage facilities and no choice but to dump the oil back into the fields.
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41 comments

  4. The assumption is that Russia has the homegrown technology to actually repair oil refineries. Kontantine, however says that Russia simply does not have the know how to repair critical oil refining machinery.

  6. This is true ONLY because of drone accuracy. Random hits in a refinery can be repaired only because they aren't hitting the most valuable targets. In contrast, an app tank is much easier to construct and lots of fabricators have the ability. Not true for cracking columns

  7. "Terror came with wings. Those who use to look the skyes for birds now fear the revenge of a God they offended with their arrogance and imprudency. They will see and feel his rage, his justice and his law"

  13. Russia is getting picked apart and pummeled, they went from the invaders to the invaded. When this ends it won't be good for Russia for decades until Putin is ended and his regime is jailed. But it internal corruption from Mafia and other criminal entities s will take advantage of the post war corruption, along with Russian suppressed countries nearby. all in all, its not gonna be a good place to be as a young adult. Watch the Ukraine thrive.

  15. Attacking oil depots has a multiplier effect: not only the oil, kerosene, etc. that was already produced (at a cost) is lost but a small drone will trigger a much wider fire because the tanks themselves provide the fuel. In addition, a reduction in storage capacity forces a reduction in oil and gas extraction.

  20. For Putin this must be very humiliating.I remember how he dictated the aggression against ukraine notwithstanding advices from his security council, how he forced people to call it a special operation,and arresting those anti war civillians who demonstrated in russian cities, i remember that speaking of war in ukraine was a crime by then.what an embarassment. What is he telling people now ; that its not Ukraine but US and NATO. These are the evils of dictatorship.Someone thinks that his decisions are more suprime than millions of the intelligent elites of Russia.

  21. When the oil depots are destroyed, the Russian oil industry have less and less facilities to store their kerosene, gas and mazout : so it stops their production !!

  27. 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

  33. Attack the transformers at power stations, not the turbine buildings. Large transformers are usually bespoke items that may take many months to fabricate. They are also usually outside the buildings for cooling reasons.

  35. How far will the final action go to prevent nuclear war? The way to prevent nuclear war and win Ukraine is for NATO to enter Ukraine and protect only the Ukrainian region. If NATO enters the war, weapons production will also increase. China-Iran-North Korea-Vietnam-CIS (former Soviet Union countries)-China Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) against NATO, including criminal dictators Xi Jinping, will not enter the war to help Russia. Without NATO's participation, Ukraine would have lost 100%.

  41. Questions and answers for Ukraine to win while preventing nuclear war? NATO to enter the war and protect Ukraine (O), increase joint production of weapons by NATO countries in the Ukrainian region (O), NATO to attack Russian soil (X), Ukraine to attack Russian soil (O), provide Ukraine with attack weapons without range restrictions (O). NATO's participation is necessary to change the situation.

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