According to a senior U.S. official, Iran is reportedly preparing to launch a ballistic missile attack against Israel in response to recent Israeli assassinations.
This attack is being framed as retaliation for the series of heavy blows Israel has dealt to Hezbollah, culminating in the current ground operation in southern Lebanon. However, Iran has been cautious ever since the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran, suggesting concerns about a possible loss of deterrence or even tensions with its key proxy, Hezbollah. The careful calculation by Iran seems to reflect deeper worries about maintaining its influence in the region.
Israel, meanwhile, has vowed to respond forcefully to any direct attack, and the U.S. has issued stern warnings of severe consequences for Iran.
Is this a repeat of Iran’s earlier, largely unsuccessful attempt to strike Israel? A final effort to save face before stepping back? Or is Israel, sensing a strategic advantage, laying a trap to provoke a direct confrontation with Iran, potentially seeking to draw in broader Western involvement?
Kind of seems like they have to. If they just do nothing while Hezbollah is destroyed it will surely hurt their standing with all of terror/proxy groups they support.
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**Submission Statement:**
According to a senior U.S. official, Iran is reportedly preparing to launch a ballistic missile attack against Israel in response to recent Israeli assassinations.
This attack is being framed as retaliation for the series of heavy blows Israel has dealt to Hezbollah, culminating in the current ground operation in southern Lebanon. However, Iran has been cautious ever since the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran, suggesting concerns about a possible loss of deterrence or even tensions with its key proxy, Hezbollah. The careful calculation by Iran seems to reflect deeper worries about maintaining its influence in the region.
Israel, meanwhile, has vowed to respond forcefully to any direct attack, and the U.S. has issued stern warnings of severe consequences for Iran.
Is this a repeat of Iran’s earlier, largely unsuccessful attempt to strike Israel? A final effort to save face before stepping back? Or is Israel, sensing a strategic advantage, laying a trap to provoke a direct confrontation with Iran, potentially seeking to draw in broader Western involvement?
Kind of seems like they have to. If they just do nothing while Hezbollah is destroyed it will surely hurt their standing with all of terror/proxy groups they support.