Guest appearance: Sally, my 14 year old feline and Shackleton’s backup sister:)!!
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Sincerely,
Paul
Scientific Evidence Shows Extremely Powerful El Niño’s will happen more often with Global Warming
A new peer-reviewed scientific paper has come out showing that we should expect many more extreme powerful El Niño events to occur as our planet continues to warm.
We can also expect more variability, given that the El Niño itself triggers the subsequent La Niña.
The paper has also figured out new insights into how the equatorial Pacific sea-surface-temperatures (SSTs) depend on the atmospheric wind speeds (Walker Circulation strength) and on the ocean temperature variations with depth (so called warm pool) via the so called Bjerknes Feedbacks. I explain all of this within this video.
The paper examines the strength of the ENSO from Paleorecords going back 21,000 years to the peak of the last ice age known as the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM). Going back, the El Niño was at its absolute weakest, with minimum variability, about 15,000 years ago and has increased maximum strength and variability up to the present day, and will get even stronger and more variability as we head to doubling and even quadrupling global CO2 atmospheric levels.
We have experienced three so-called super-El-Niño events in recent history, specifically in 1982, 1997, and 2015 which wreaked havoc in many places around the planet. Each of these events had central equatorial SSTs over 2 degrees C warmer than normal.
We can expect many more of these super-El-Niño’s to occur as global warming accelerates.
Please donate to http://PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos connecting the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.
I need to upgrade my laptop and iPhone for filming and researching my videos, so please consider helping me out.
I wasn’t planning on attending the next global climate conference in Baku, Azerbaijan in November, but may reconsider if people support my work and video channel and badges to get in are available.
Sincerely,
Paul
by paulhenrybeckwith